Can Gaddafi survive?

If you've read my blog you no my answer is hell no.

But CNN recently did a piece that argued otherwise. Professor Dalton asked a question i thought was telling:

"Is the [Libyan] government now very stretched or is it comfortable as to numbers of men, equipment and morale?"

I can't tell you about numbers or morale, but in terms of equipment they're fucked. And without equipment you don't win conventional battles. The Telegraph is reporting they no longer have an air force.

I agree that Gaddafi will not resign willingly. But he's not gonna have much choice in the matter if he doesn't have an air force and the rebels have any military talent whatsoever. He'll be forced into hiding, and nobody will recognize his government. Which means we win, even if the rebels can't hold it together afterward.