Sunday, April 10, 2011

Libya Again

The stalemate continues. In some ways this is a good sign for the rebels, because it indicates their military preparations allow them to stop Gaddafi's advances. In other ways it's a bad sign because it gives a canny operator the ability to play for time. Recently Gaddaifi tried to take Ajdabiya, but the rebels seem to have driven him back after losing some ground.

In terms of pointless diplomacy the African Union has a peace plan that has been accepted by Gaddafi. They are really serious, so they sent a bunch of big guns, including several presidents, to deliver the plan. The problem is that a) Gaddafi's accepted cease-fires before, so it's not exactly surprising that he says he'll go along with their plan, b) the rebels have given no indication they;d prefer elections to just killing Gaddafi, and c)the AU's biggest gun (President Zuma of South Africa) left before he could meet said rebels.

So basically nothing is happening.

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