Sunday, April 3, 2011

War Update

A lot's going on. The Turks sent a ship in to help evacuate Misrata, which has managed to hold off Gaddafi's forces for several weeks. Conditions were so bad they had to be escorted by 10 F-16s and teo frigates, but had to retreat almost immediately. Gaddafi seems to have decided he's not gonna get the big players in the war to stop shooting at him, so he's sent somebody to Greece. It's possible he'll get a favorable hearing in Greece, as he's got money and the Greeks are desperate for it. There's widespread speculation the war is a stalemate. The rebels are organizing an army.

According to her father Eman al-Obeidy has disappeared. Gaddafi's people swear she's free, maybe at a woman's shelter, or with her family, but apparently her parents haven't seen her. They claim they were offered a substantial bribe if she'd change her story.

Overall it's good news for the rebels. Turks aren't likely to turn on them after the incident in Misrata showed them how bad Gaddafi is, and the al-Obeidy situation won't help the regime much either.

More importantly the rebels are holding, which means the trick Gaddafi used to rout them a few days back has stopped working, and they seem to be making progress building an army. If true the speculation over the stalemate is premature, and Gaddafi's regime will probably collapse in a few weeks.

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